The upside isn't there anymore, but safe and boring can sometimes be the right move. Schwarber gave back many of his 2019 gains last year, seeing a rise in strikeout rate (29.5%) and his batting average dropping to an abysmal .188. Blackmon may be on the downside of his career, but he won't cost you much and can still contribute solid or better numbers in four of five categories. But given what he's accomplished through his age-21 season, it's truly scary to think of how high his ceiling may be. Draft him as a top-five pick and enjoy the ridiculous production. Fingers crossed that the 2021 MLB season will begin on time -- and that we get to see some live baseball at the ballpark this year. Varsho was optioned to Triple-A, which was mildly surprising, though not entirely unexpected. Batting near the top of a strong lineup, he should deliver another solid season at the thin second base position. He was an All-Star at the position in 2019 and is one of the best defensive outfielders in the big leagues right now. Inciarte specifically has been the Braves starting centerfielder since 2014. Before we answer that question, let’s lay down a few ground rules. The 20 Best Defensive Outfielders in Recent MLB History: According to advanced metrics, is Ender Inciarte one of the players whose gloves are truly made of gold? His average will likely come down to closer to its career .254 mark. There were some concern after his steals dropped to just 20 in 2019, but he bounced back to a 32-steal pace last year while also seeing a power spike. Monitor his hamstring strain he suffered in the spring, but unless he looks like he'll miss significant time, draft him with confidence. Calhoun was set to build on his breakout 2019 season when an errant pitch fractured his jaw in spring training. Winker had a quietly strong 2020 season, getting on base at a .388 clip and hitting 12 home runs in 54 games. Thursday, it's outfielders -- the top 10 left fielders, center fielders and right fielders. Soler's injury-shortened 2020 season didn't live up to his massive 2019 campaign, but he did show that a lot of his gains were legitimate. Haniger hasn't played since June of 2019, and his career has been riddled with injuries. Despite not having an abundance of speed, Moore's stolen base prowess is real, as he stole 96 bases over 447 minor league games at a 77% clip and ranked in the 71st percentile in sprint speed last year. Draft him as a borderline first outfielder in fantasy leagues and reap the rewards. That makes him capable of being your first outfielder in mixed leagues and an asset to any fantasy team. Gallo has actually been consistent against righties over the last several years, and the difference in his performance has been that he somehow destroyed lefties in 2019 (.333/.427/.747) and was worse than ever in 2020 (.143/.241/.386). Kirilloff's bat is probably major-league ready, but since he hasn't yet played above Double-A and his fielding is iffy at best, he's going to begin the year at the Twins' alternate site. Limited to just 39 games last year, he hit 13 home runs, greatly increasing his barrel rate (13.5%), average exit velocity (91.2 MPH) and hard hit rate (47.9%). But he's still just 27 years old, and has the power and speed to deliver a 30-30 season in a perfect world. Why Florida native Jakob Chychrun is hoping for an Olympic spot ... on Team Canada, NHL Playoff Watch Daily: Canes, Lightning face off in critical Central matchup. But Robert will be just 24 years old this season, so there's plenty of room for growth in that area. Specifically, his quality of contact was generally below the MLB average in every notable measure, and his expected batting average was just .238, a full 70 points below his actual batting average. On his best day, he's a lite version of a healthy Aaron Judge. But Schwarber's season was far from linear: over the first half of the season, he slashed .230/.343/.448, but those numbers dropped to .154/.279/.346 over the second half. Mancini had hit 24 home runs in each of the two previous seasons, and other than being a bit more selective at the plate, made few changes that suggest his 2019 production was fluky. Conforto built on his excellent 2019 season by trading off a bit of power for some batting average. In 141 games over the last two seasons, he's hit 31 home runs, scored 79 runs, drove in 81, and stolen seven bases while batting .270. He's a top-three pick and will (deservedly) go first overall in many leagues, and there's still upside given that he just turned 23 years old. Robles is still just entering his age-24 season, so massive long-term growth is still certainly on the table. By MARK SIMON. Over the last four seasons, he has a 162-game pace of a .278 average, 29 home runs, 112 run scored, 80 RBI, and five steals. He's best suited as a bench option or a fifth outfielder in deeper mixed leagues. That's not sexy, but it's someone you can plug in as your fourth or fifth outfielder. As we wait, Buster Olney continues his annual ranking of the 10 best players at each position heading into the coming season, based on input from industry evaluators. The Royals' lineup is sneaky deep, and Dozier will start at third base this season, giving him eligibility at three positions. Batting in a great home park, Mancini should again be a four-category producer, and his ADP should rise if he shows he's fully healthy throughout the spring. Those numbers will play at second base, especially given Marte's draft cost, but give up dreams of him hitting 32 home runs ever again. Considering he's free in drafts, there is every reason to scoop him up with a late-round pick. Those numbers play extremely well for fantasy, particularly at the weak second base position. 99d Buster Olney. There were plenty of warning signs with Robles' batted-ball data heading into 2020, and they're only greater now after an abysmal season during which he slashed .220/.293/.315. The downside is borderline non-existent. The best course of action is to discount him from his numbers in 2019 for certain, but still buy him as a strong third outfielder, which should bake in the risk of any continued struggles against his upside. He saw plenty of action between catcher and the outfield last year for the Diamondbacks, and although he batted just .188, he hit three home runs and stole three bases. Best Value: Marcell Ozuna. The steals are likely gone for good, but even on his worst day, Blackmon will help you in batting average, runs, and RBI, and he was still on pace for 15 home runs last year. If you want to quibble, his walk rate dropped a few percentage points and he struck out at a career-worst 15.4% clip. But there's little upside and he has topped 97 games played just twice in his career. Varsho was optioned less because of his talent level and more because the Diamondbacks' roster is pretty full, especially with the signing of Asdrubal Cabrera,. Through Soto's age 21 season, he has played 313 regular-season games -- two full seasons, basically -- and has 228 walks, 69 homers among 146 extra-base hits, and an OPS of .972. Hicks is reportedly going to bat third for the Yankees this year, and the lineup spot is so valuable that it largely covers a player's warts. His Statcast data waned a bit from his monstrous 2019 season, but his 92.4 mile per hour average exit velocity was in the top two percent in baseball. He improved on his already strong walk rate from 2019, and improved his quality of contact significantly. After all, he still struck out more than 30 percent of the time, and his walk rate dropped by about two points. He's worth a bench spot in all 10-team or deeper leagues. It's not like swinging hard and hitting a ball 115 mph. But playing in Camden Yards should certainly keep his production high, and batting in the middle of the Orioles lineup should lead to enough RBI chances to make him a rosterable, if not startable, fantasy option. There's nothing particularly fluky about his power output - it's just a young hitter coming into his own and making better contact. He essentially traded off some power for contact, as his swing percentage dropped, his contact rate increased, and he improved on both his walk and strikeout rates. He makes consistently strong (though not elite) contact, and although he swings a ton, his strikeout rate isn't prohibitive. Laureano doesn't excel anywhere, but he'll chip in almost everywhere, and you can get him beyond the 12th round in most drafts. At the very least, Rosario should chip in 25 home runs at least, while helping out in runs and RBI, and he's a fine third outfielder in mixed leagues. His continously poor contact limits any upside, but it's worth noting that he still hit 17 homers and stole 28 bases in 2019 despite it all. Benintendi will get a fresh start with the Royals in 2021, and if any player ever needed a change of scenery, it's him. Betts's first year with the Dodgers was basically exactly what fantasy managers expected - that is to say it was pretty much in line with what he did with the Red Sox. The issue for Smith is his fielding and with the National League surprisingly not adopting the designated hitter, that means he'll need to play out in left field most days. Soto does not have the speed or baserunning chops to steal 30 bases in a season, which is the only thing keeping him from being considered worthy of drafting first overall. Yes, his poor performance last year makes his breakout 2019 performance seem like an outlier, but really, it seems like 2020, rather than 2019, should be discounted. There's been little decline in his batted ball data over the last two years, but even if there had been, the sample size would be too small to draw any conclusions. He looked more than ready for the big club in his 23 plate appearances, however, hitting two home runs with a 1.256 OPS. Yes, it was more of a 30-homer pace, but his barrel rate, average exit velocity, and hard hit rate were all elite, as they were the prior year. Truth be told, both 2019 and 2020 are probably outliers for Marte, and the truth probably lies somewhere between his 2018 (.260/.332/.437) and 2019 (.329/.389/.592) seasons. Dozier is almost entirely off the fantasy radar this year, but that feels like an overreaction to 2020. Marte's getting a little old for a player to rely on for stolen bases, and although fantasy managers need to start lowering their expectations as he enters his age-32 season, there should be enough left in the tank for him to be productive. Carlson is just 22 years old and has a strong minor-league track record. Betts should be a top-three pick and there's every reason to consider him number one overall. It's all about the injuries with Stanton, as after two healthy seasons, he's been limited to just 41 games over the last two. He upped his walk rate significantly in 2020 (15.6%, top seven percent in the league) and hits the ball hard consistently. He cut his strikeout rate from 34.6% to 25.9%, and his swinging strike rate from 19.1% to 15.4%. You can draft him with your last pick and hope to be able to stash him on your IL all season long, but for the most part, you can ignore him in redraft formats. In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. In other words, there's plenty to like about Santander, who is going well behind other hitters who offer similar production. Given that McNeil never hit the ball particularly hard anyway, though, a good bet is to assume he at least returns to the high teens in home runs, slightly below his 2019 pace. In the second half, he hit just .150 with four home runs. And his strikeout rate rose to 20.4%, a career worst. Gurriel isn't going to be elite in any category, but he's going to provide some value in all five. Pham had averaged roughly 22 home runs and 22 steals with a .284 batting average the three years prior to last, and he had the highest hard-hit rate of his career in 2020. Kepler isn't a fancy player, but he's the kind of depth piece that fantasy managers need to survive a long season. A .476 slugging percentage with 20 home runs in 93 games in 2019, followed by a .575 slugging percentage and 11 home runs in 37 games in 2020. He both walked and struck out more than usual last season, but given that he played in just 46 games, there's little reason to draw any firm conclusions from that data. There's a 25-homer bat in his skill set, and the fact that he'll likely throw in 15-20 steals should give him a high floor regardless. He's already ranked pitchers and infielders, and he will follow these with the top 10 teams on Friday. Lowe improved his ISO and HR/FB rate, and was generally the best version of himself in 2020. Key 2020 Stats: 58 G, 242 PA, 11 HR, 5 SB, .262 AVG, … Castellanos hit for plenty of power last season with the Reds, but it was far from the full breakout season many expected. That leaves a lot of room for Gallo to outperform his draft position. Though it's absolutely fair to write off Meadows's season entirely, it's a bit worrisome that he struggled so much against lefties (.143 batting average), as that could potentially open him up to a platoon situation if he struggles against them out of the gate. "There's a nuance to disciplined hitting that needs to become a habit. The key is "when he's in the lineup," however, as injuries have forced Judge to miss significant time over the last three seasons. Just bake in some missed time into the draft capital you're willing to spend. You do n't same mark as in: this is the best defensive team on paper in the 10... 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