For the next couple of days, the system slowly moved westward, approaching the coast of Mozambique while gradually organizing. Flight Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center (2021, February 19). The prolonged spell of heavy rain and widespread flooding which tropical Cyclone “Eloise” brought to southern Africa, scarcely a month ago is still fresh in the minds of the general public. Image courtesy EUMETSAT 2021 C&RS-CC-LETT-CB-Medrel.2021. The storm continued strengthening into the next day as thunderstorm activity became more concentrated around the center of the storm's circulation; however, the lack of upper-level divergence initially limited any significant intensification. Some parts of Mozambique are still recovering from the destruction caused by Tropical Cyclone Idai in March 2019. tropical cyclone (tc) 21s (guambe), located approximately 151 nm west of europa island, has tracked south-southeastward at 03 knots over the past six hours. ‘Whilst South Africa is unlikely to experience any negative impacts of Guambe, it is highly likely that a combination of torrential tropical rain and extensive flooding will affect an extensive part of the coast and adjacent interior of southern Mozambique, especially the region from Beira, through Vilanculos and southward to Inhambane. Guambe. [7] Around that time, Guambe had a secondary low-level circulation center over northern South Africa, which slowed the storm's southward movement.[8]. [18] Later on 21 February, Guambe began undergoing an extratropical transition,[19] before completing the transition at 06:00 UTC on the next day, even as the storm began interacting with the southern jet stream. Guambe is the fourth tropical cyclone of the 2020–2021 South Indian Ocean season, which runs from November through April. The eleventh tropical depression, eighth named storm, and the fourth tropical cyclone of the 2020–21 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season, Guambe originated from a tropical disturbance in the Mozambique Channel on 10 February. Guambe is located 1389 km (750 nautical miles) south-southeast of Europa Island, and has tracked east-southeastward at 65 km/h (35 knots) over the past 6 hours. Less than a month after a destructive storm in January, another tropical cyclone aims at the East African nation. MEANWHILE, THE LOW IS RAPIDLY LOSING ITS TROPICAL FEATURES WITHIN AN INCREASINGLY BAROCLINIC ENVIRONMENT (UPPER JET GETTING CLOSER). The weather service said at this stage it was unlikely that Guambe would hit South Africa. Tropical Cyclone Guambe was the third tropical cyclone to make landfall in the country of Mozambique since December 2020, following Cyclone Eloise and Tropical Storm Chalane. [9] Despite this, Guambe eventually strengthened into a severe tropical storm at 18:00 UTC on 18 February. Tropical Storm 21S Cyclone Guambe. A fresh tropical system named “Guambe” has developed and is currently intensifying in the southern half of the Mozambique Channel. Cyclone Eloise weakened to a tropical storm but caused heavy rain and flooding across southern Africa. IT IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE BAROCLINIC SYSTEM BY TOMORROW. On the next day, Guambe was absorbed into another extratropical cyclone. [23] The mysterious deaths of 186 Spinner dolphins off of Bazaruto Archipelago National Park was thought to be blamed on Cyclone Guambe. Guambe's forward motion slowed as it held onto its strength, with the storm's eye disappearing and reappearing on satellite imagery, and sporadic convective bursts. Wavescape said the cyclone might hit parts of South Africa especially the Eastern and Northern Cape. Eloise is likely to intensify once it re-enters the Mozambique Channel. Soon afterward, the system strengthened into a moderate tropical storm and was named Guambe. Guambe was estimated to have caused millions of dollars (2021 USD) in damages. By 15 February, the meandering system had turned back eastward and was expected to re-emerge into the Mozambique Channel. [11] Guambe quickly reached tropical cyclone status at 06:00 UTC on 19 February, with the appearance of a very small eye on infrared satellite imagery and a well-defined core structure, even as the storm turned southwestward. Severe Storms, Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer, Tropical Cyclone 21S (Guambe) Warning #04, Mozambique Key Message Update: Cyclone Eloise impacts recovery efforts from Cyclone Idai, January 2021, Mozambique to be hit by another tropical storm, NASA Goddard Space [10] Over the next several hours, Guambe began undergoing rapid intensification, with a well-defined central dense overcast (CDO) configuration developing, as the cyclone continued becoming more organized. Cyclone Eloise weakened to a tropical storm but caused heavy rain and flooding across southern Africa. Beyond this period, Guambe can typically be expected to accelerate in a south-easterly direction, ultimately being absorbed into the predominantly westerly airflow of the mid-latitudes. Some rain and wind are expected over parts of northeastern KZN. Tropical Disturbance INVEST 99S that spawned Eloise was first noted on 14 January as it entered a region marginally favourable to development. [14] Around the same time, the JTWC estimated that Guambe had strengthened into a Category 2-equivalent tropical cyclone on the Saffir–Simpson scale (SSHWS), with 1-minute sustained winds at 155 km/h (100 mph), with the storm's 1-minute sustained wind speed having increased by 65 km/h (40 mph) over a 24-hour period. After Guambe's precursor disturbance moved ashore in Mozambique on 12 February, the storm proceeded to produce prolific rainfall across the region for the next several days, leading to widespread flooding, and displacing over 27,000 people. The storm washed out two bridges on the Umbeluzi River, flooded hundreds of homes, and also destroyed numerous crops. ... On February 10, a subtropical depression intensified into a tropical cyclone, being named Guambe and peaking as a Category 2 equivalent tropical cyclone. The third cyclone to impact Mozambique this season was spinning in the Mozambique Channel on February 19, 2021. “Guambe” is projected to intensify further, reaching “Tropical Cyclone” status, east of Xai-Xai, Mozambique during Saturday 20 February 2021. Atmosphere Image of the Day Subsequently, the MRF issued their last advisory on the storm. At the current time, it is highly unlikely that “Guambe” will directly affect South Africa. Land The weather service said at this stage it was unlikely that Guambe would hit South Africa. [23] The storm also caused flooding in parts of northeastern South Africa during this time. Homes, crops and infrastructure in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, eSwatini and South Africa were destroyed, with tens of thousands of people displaced. [16] Despite forecasts of further strengthening, Guambe rapidly weakened back down to severe tropical storm status on 20 February, due to an eyewall replacement cycle, while the storm began accelerating towards the southeast. Its remnants affected Zimbabwe, Eswatini, and South Africa. The region is facing an Islamic insurgency and was hit by cyclone Kenneth in April 2019 – the strongest storm to make landfall on the African continent, five weeks after Idai. Afterward, Guambe transitioned into an extratropical storm on 22 February. During the season, eight tropical storms formed, four intensified further into tropical cyclones, and two of those went further and became intense tropical cyclones.Become then an active season. According to Wavescape, a South African Weather update website, the storm started as a tropical disturbance over the Mozambican channel before it developed into a full-blown cyclone code-named Tropical Storm Guambe on Friday evening. According to the United Kingdom’s Met Office, “ [A]n area of low pressure has caused flooding rains over Mozambique and northeastern South Africa … [1] After Guambe re-emerged into the Mozambique Channel on 16 February and began strengthening, local authorities in Mozambique anticipated the threat of additional flooding from the storm in the southern portion of the country, especially the region between Beira and Inhambane. Severe Tropical Storm Eloise is a current tropical cyclone weakening from land interaction with Madagscar at present. Yet another tropical cyclone was headed for Mozambique in February 2021, less than a month after Tropical Cyclone Eloise brought widespread damage and severe flooding to southeastern Africa. The storm proceeded to make a clockwise loop over the country for the next several days, while dumping prolific amounts of rainfall in the region, before re-emerging into the Mozambique Channel on 16 February. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH A DEVELOPING CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). Although the center of Tropical Cyclone Guambe is expected to remain 60-90 miles (100-150 km) off the coast, the western side of the storm will bring heavy rain and strong winds to parts of Sofala, Inhambane, Manica, and Zambezia Provinces over the next few days. Caption by Kathryn Hansen. On 10 February, a disturbance developed in the Mozambique Channel between Mozambique and Madagascar. Tropical Cyclone Guambe is still intensifying and is expected to reach Intense Tropical Cyclone strength soon. Courtesy: RSMC La Reunion. After making landfall in Mozambique on 12 February as a subtropical low, Guambe's precursor disturbance caused widespread flooding across Mozambique, which destroyed homes and crops, and also displaced thousands of people weeks after Cyclone Eloise made landfall near the same location. Storms in the southern half of the basin tend to form between November and April. [22] The storm struck less than a month after Cyclone Eloise had made landfall near the same place, worsening the ongoing crisis in the region. The storm had a maximum average 10-minute wind speed of 140 km/h (85 mph) and a central pressure of 963 hPa, according to the RSMC La Reunion. Severe Storms. Tropical storm Guambe is strengthening in the southern half of the Mozambique Channel with a high likelihood of torrential rain, strong winds and … [17] Guambe further decayed as its rainbands unraveled and its cloud tops warmed, brought on by high wind shear and cool sea surface temperatures. Cyclone Eloise weakened to a tropical storm but caused heavy rain and flooding across southern Africa. The Department says Tropical Cyclone GUAMBE developed on Wednesday, February 17 2021, at a distance of 900km away south east of Malawi. Guambe is the fourth tropical cyclone of the 2020–2021 South Indian Ocean season, which runs from November through April. [6] On 17 February, the depression turned southward and strengthened into Moderate Tropical Storm Guambe at 12:00 UTC that day, with the northern section of the storm becoming enveloped in deep convection. On Feb. 19, Europe’s Meteosat-8 satellite was keeping an eye on Tropical Cyclone Guambe, which developed off the southeastern coast of Africa this week from a system that was pushed off the continent into the Mozambique Channel. The prolonged spell of heavy rain and widespread flooding which tropical Cyclone “Eloise” brought to southern Africa, scarcely a month ago is still fresh in the minds of the general public. [5] The storm resumed its organizing trend soon afterward, and at 18:00 UTC that day, the MRF upgraded the system to a tropical depression. [2] The next day, the system was designated as an overland tropical depression, while bringing locally heavy rainfall across portions of southern Mozambique. Some parts of Mozambique are still recovering from the destruction caused by Tropical Cyclone Idai in March 2019. On 12 February, Météo-France La Réunion noted that the system had transitioned into a subtropical depression and had made landfall near Inhambane, Mozambique; the subtropical depression was also slowly moving inland without having developed any significant sustain… It is currently positioned at … Homes, crops and infrastructure in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, eSwatini and South Africa were destroyed, with tens of thousands of people displaced. [4] At 06:00 UTC on 16 February, the system re-emerged over warm open water and was designated as Tropical Disturbance 11. Slow disbursement of international funds following the 2019 cyclones is partly responsible for … Atmosphere Moderate Tropical Storm “Guambe” is visible as an impressive swirl of deep convective cloud development, obscuring a large portion of the Mozambique Channel. It is rare for a powerful tropical cyclone to hit Tonga. Barely one month ago, another cyclone, Eloise, hit the same approximate area and produced heavy rain and flooding across Southern Africa when it made landfall in Mozambique. ex-guambe keeps accelerating under the increasing influence of the deep mid-latitude trough to its south-west. The category-1 storm is poised to move inland over East African countries. Water – Opera News", Direction Générale de la Météorologie de Madagascar, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cyclone_Guambe&oldid=1014689328, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, This page was last edited on 28 March 2021, at 15:36. [24] As a tropical disturbance, Guambe caused millions of dollars (2021 USD) in damages in South Africa. Homes, crops and infrastructure in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, eSwatini and South Africa were destroyed, with tens of thousands of people displaced. On 12 February, Météo-France La Réunion noted that the system had transitioned into a subtropical depression and had made landfall near Inhambane, Mozambique; the subtropical depression was also slowly moving inland without having developed any significant sustained convective activity near the center. Homes, crops and infrastructure in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, eSwatini and South Africa were destroyed, with tens of thousands of people displaced. [25][26] However, there were no additional reports of damage to human property as Guambe accelerated southeastward. [27], Guambe near peak intensity east of the coast of Mozambique on 19 February, 2020–21 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season, "Global Catastrophe Recap – February 2021", "Bulletin for Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather in the Southwest Indian Ocean: 2021/02/12 AT 1200 UTC", "Bulletin for Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather in the Southwest Indian Ocean: 2021/02/13 AT 1200 UTC", "Bulletin for Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather in the Southwest Indian Ocean: 2021/02/15 AT 1200 UTC", "A Tropical Disturbance 11 Warning Number 1/11/20202021", "A Tropical Depression 11 Warning Number 3/11/20202021", "A Moderate Tropical Storm 11 (Guambe) Warning 6/11/20202021", "TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GUAMBE) WARNING NR 002", "A Moderate Tropical Storm Guambe Warning Number 9/11/2021", "A Severe Tropical Storm 11 (Guambe) Warning Number 10/11/20202021", "A Severe Tropical Storm 11 (Guambe) Warning Number 12/11/20202021", "A Tropical Cyclone 11 (Guambe) Warning Number 13/11/20202021", "A Tropical Cyclone 11 (Guambe) Warning Number 14/11/20202021", "A Tropical Cyclone 11 (Guambe) Warning Number 15/11/20202021", "TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GUAMBE) WARNING NR 007", "A Severe Tropical Storm 11 (Guambe) Warning Number 18/11/20202021", "TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GUAMBE) WARNING NR 009", "A Post-Tropical Depression 11 (Ex-Guambe) Warning Number 23/11/20202021", "A Post-Tropical Depression 11 (Ex-Guambe) Warning Number 25/11/20202021", "Mozambique: Thousands Displaced After Heavy Rains Hit", "Prison evacuates 150 inmates for fear of flood risk in southern Mozambique", "WEATHER WARNING: Moderate tropical storm 'Guambe' to hit Mozambique", "Experts investigating whether cyclone contributed to mass dolphin deaths", "Mozambique Investigates Death of 111 Dolphins", "Good News on Cyclone Guambe. A couple of days later, Guambe underwent rapid intensification, reaching tropical cyclone status on 19 February, and peaking as a Category 2-equivalent tropical cyclone shortly afterward. South-West Indian Ocean tropical cyclone seasons The 2046-47 Southwest Indian Ocean cyclone season was a slightly below average season. Joshua entered the basin from the Australian Region on the same day. Tropical storm Guambe is strengthening in the southern half of the Mozambique Channel with a high likelihood of torrential rain, strong winds and flooding along southern Mozambique’s coast and adjacent interior regions, especially from Beira through Vilanculos … [15] However, Guambe soon began to weaken, with the storm's feeder bands unravelling and cloud tops warming, though the storm managed to maintain a symmetrical structure with a pinhole eye. Tracking Tropical Cyclone Guambe. As of Wednesday, 17 February 2021, tropical storm Guambe obscured a large portion of the Mozambique Channel. Severe Storms [3] For the next several days, the system made a slow clockwise loop over Mozambique, while slowly organizing. “As of Thursday, February 18 2021, the Tropical Cyclone GUAMBE while still in the Mozambique Channel further strengthened and deepened to pressure value or 985 millIbars while at a distance of 700km South East of Nsanje Boma, but 420 km away from … Severe Storms. Two days later, the system developed into a subtropical depression that made landfall in Mozambique. In contrast, Guambe is not expected to make landfall and will likely only brush Africa’s east coast before heading out into the … Afterward, Guambe underwent an eyewall replacement cycle and weakened back into a severe tropical storm on 20 February. For the next couple of days, the system slowly moved westward, approaching the coast of Mozambique while gradually organizing. [1] No deaths were reported from the storm. Satellite images and tracking maps of Tropical Cyclone Guambe 2021, February 12 - 22. 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